Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Frost 51.1% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 75.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 57.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Bedard
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bedard
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Bedard
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
50.3% (825)
-12.3%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
54.9% (204)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
On power play, Frost has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Bedard
Frost
Home
40.5% (316)
50.7% (489)
Away
36.2% (340)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Bedard
Frost
P1
37.2%
53.6%
P2
36.9%
47.8%
P3
40.7%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |