Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Kadri 49.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 69.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 86.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 71.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Bedard
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Bedard
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Bedard
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
47.7% (975)
-8.8%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
54.0% (226)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
55.6% (9)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Bedard
Kadri
Home
40.2% (246)
48.3% (621)
Away
37.8% (286)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Bedard
Kadri
P1
39.9%
48.1%
P2
38.5%
48.9%
P3
39.0%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |