Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Kadri 47.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 59.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bedard
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bedard
Kadri
Last 5: Bedard 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
47.4% (821)
-3.2%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
48.8% (86)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
38.5% (13)
+15.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Bedard
Kadri
Home
50.7% (223)
46.6% (487)
Away
42.2% (270)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Bedard
Kadri
P1
40.8%
52.7%
P2
48.2%
50.2%
P3
48.0%
40.2%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |