Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Kadri 48.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 62.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bedard
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Bedard
Kadri
Last 10: Bedard 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Bedard
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
Bedard
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
48.2% (12,510)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
53.0% (1,892)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
41.0% (293)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Bedard
Kadri
Home
43.3% (785)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
38.5% (896)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Bedard
Kadri
P1
39.0%
49.2%
P2
40.7%
48.8%
P3
42.6%
48.0%
OT
42.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |