Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Thomas 52.9% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 67.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 66.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Bedard
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Bedard
Thomas
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
7
Bedard
Thomas
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
53.2% (1,166)
-14.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.9% (262)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
48.4% (221)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Bedard
Thomas
Home
40.2% (246)
51.6% (830)
Away
37.8% (286)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Bedard
Thomas
P1
39.9%
52.7%
P2
38.5%
55.6%
P3
39.0%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |