Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Strome 42.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 50.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 63.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Bedard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bedard
Strome
Last 6: Bedard 2-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Bedard
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Bedard
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
41.2% (1,040)
-3.2%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
43.0% (151)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.4% (35)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Bedard
Strome
Home
40.5% (316)
40.1% (581)
Away
36.2% (340)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Bedard
Strome
P1
37.2%
41.4%
P2
36.9%
42.9%
P3
40.7%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |