Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Strome 44.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 69.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 65.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Bedard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Bedard
Strome
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
8
Bedard
Strome
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
6
Bedard
Strome
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
44.1% (6,839)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
49.3% (854)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
41.5% (410)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Bedard
Strome
Home
43.3% (785)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
38.5% (896)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Bedard
Strome
P1
39.0%
44.0%
P2
40.7%
45.3%
P3
42.6%
44.3%
OT
42.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |