Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Strome 45.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Bedard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
44.2% (267)
+0.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
37.0% (27)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (4)
+3.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Bedard shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Bedard
Strome
Home
50.7% (223)
42.0% (157)
Away
42.2% (270)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Bedard
Strome
P1
40.8%
40.0%
P2
48.2%
46.4%
P3
48.0%
44.0%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |