Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Monahan 52.8% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 52.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Bedard
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
53.2% (823)
-9.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
55.3% (159)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
48.4% (95)
+5.4%
On power play, Bedard has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Bedard
Monahan
Home
50.7% (223)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.2% (270)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Bedard
Monahan
P1
40.8%
49.0%
P2
48.2%
55.4%
P3
48.0%
53.6%
OT
57.1%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%