Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Pinto 50.1% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 69.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 93.9%
Neutral zone
Pinto 91.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 89.1%
10.9%
89.1%
Bedard
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bedard
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
50.4% (779)
-12.4%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
55.2% (29)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.9% (78)
+12.2%
On power play, Pinto has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pinto
Home
40.5% (316)
52.4% (454)
Away
36.2% (340)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Bedard
Pinto
P1
37.2%
48.1%
P2
36.9%
52.9%
P3
40.7%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |