Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Pinto 50.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 72.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 65.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 54.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Bedard
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bedard
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
50.2% (520)
-6.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
68.0% (25)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
49.4% (89)
+4.4%
On even strength, Pinto has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Bedard shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pinto
Home
50.7% (223)
48.8% (301)
Away
42.2% (270)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Bedard
Pinto
P1
40.8%
51.2%
P2
48.2%
48.9%
P3
48.0%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |