Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Hertl 56.8% (-18.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 60.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Bedard
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
57.0% (718)
-18.1%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
64.9% (188)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.2% (77)
-19.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hertl
Home
40.2% (246)
59.2% (463)
Away
37.8% (286)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Bedard
Hertl
P1
39.9%
56.3%
P2
38.5%
55.4%
P3
39.0%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%