Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 32.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 45.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-21.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 59.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Brown
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (28)
57.7% (998)
-22.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.5% (271)
-60.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
56.4% (39)
-16.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Brown is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Brown shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Brown
Tavares
Home
47.8% (23)
59.7% (610)
Away
23.8% (21)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Brown
Tavares
P1
36.8%
57.2%
P2
46.7%
58.5%
P3
20.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%