Connor Brown vs John Tavares

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +32.8% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Brown 45.8% vs Tavares 57.2% (-32.8%)
Offensive zone Tavares 73.4%
Defensive zone Tavares 64.6%
Neutral zone Tavares 65.2%
Result John Tavares favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Brown Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Brown
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (14)
58.0% (914)
-29.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
57.0% (235)
-57.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
57.9% (19)
-24.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +57.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Brown is 18.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Brown shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Brown
Tavares
Home
16.7% (6)
57.8% (614)
Away
28.6% (14)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Brown
Tavares
P1
20.0%
58.0%
P2
25.0%
56.9%
P3
33.3%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
57.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%
34.0%
25.0%
Tavares
46.0%
54.5%
57.8%