Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Toninato 44.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 56.3%
Defensive zone
Toninato 55.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 51.1%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Dewar
Toninato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
Toninato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Toninato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
1
Dewar
Toninato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
43.5% (184)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
29.4% (17)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Dewar
Toninato
Home
45.3% (64)
45.6% (114)
Away
47.8% (69)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Dewar
Toninato
P1
33.3%
37.3%
P2
44.2%
41.7%
P3
64.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |