Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Toninato 50.0% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 65.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 80.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 56.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Dewar
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
52.9% (17)
-7.5%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Toninato is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Dewar
Toninato
Home
43.3% (238)
0.0% (1)
Away
44.9% (265)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Dewar
Toninato
P1
41.7%
25.0%
P2
46.1%
40.0%
P3
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%