Connor Dewar vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 55.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 88.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 68.4%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Dewar 1-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
3
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
51.8% (637)
-6.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
48.2% (56)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
42.9% (7)
-14.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Home
43.3% (238)
53.1% (339)
Away
44.9% (265)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
P1
41.7%
48.3%
P2
46.1%
55.0%
P3
44.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |