Connor Dewar vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 88.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 69.7%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Dewar 1-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
3
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
49.0% (3,852)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
51.3% (351)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
45.7% (35)
-3.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Home
43.4% (588)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
46.8% (637)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
P1
43.9%
49.9%
P2
47.1%
50.4%
P3
44.3%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |