Connor Dewar vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 76.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
47.3% (207)
+6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
33.3% (3)
-2.5%
On even strength, Dewar has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.1% (19)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.4% (36)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.6%
51.3%
P2
31.8%
46.1%
P3
53.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%