Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 71.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 69.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Dewar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dewar
Stenlund
Last 5: Dewar 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Dewar
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
58.2% (359)
-12.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
47.1% (17)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
42.0% (150)
-13.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Dewar
Stenlund
Home
43.3% (238)
53.6% (261)
Away
44.9% (265)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Dewar
Stenlund
P1
41.7%
55.4%
P2
46.1%
51.5%
P3
44.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |