Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 78.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 85.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 78.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Dewar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Dewar
Stenlund
Last 8: Dewar 1-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
6
Dewar
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
55.3% (2,703)
-9.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.6% (116)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
50.6% (919)
-8.8%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dewar is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Dewar shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Dewar
Stenlund
Home
43.4% (588)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
46.8% (637)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Dewar
Stenlund
P1
43.9%
56.4%
P2
47.1%
53.3%
P3
44.3%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |