Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 68.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 72.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Dewar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dewar
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Dewar
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
58.6% (797)
-18.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.5% (24)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
60.5% (233)
-12.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dewar is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Dewar shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Dewar
Stenlund
Home
41.0% (78)
58.6% (548)
Away
45.7% (46)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Dewar
Stenlund
P1
38.9%
60.2%
P2
53.3%
59.1%
P3
34.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |