Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Dewar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
44.7% (1,053)
+0.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
36.8% (95)
+38.2%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
65.0% (20)
-36.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Dewar
MacKinnon
Home
43.3% (238)
49.4% (553)
Away
44.9% (265)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Dewar
MacKinnon
P1
41.7%
45.3%
P2
46.1%
42.7%
P3
44.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
44.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |