Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Dewar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
49.2% (1,266)
-9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.9% (193)
+45.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
49.1% (55)
-0.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dewar is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Dewar shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Dewar
MacKinnon
Home
41.0% (78)
50.9% (740)
Away
45.7% (46)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Dewar
MacKinnon
P1
38.9%
50.9%
P2
53.3%
51.8%
P3
34.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%