Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 93.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 79.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Dewar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Dewar
Crosby
Last 10: Dewar 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Dewar
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Dewar
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
52.8% (17,990)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
57.4% (4,733)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
47.1% (765)
-5.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Dewar
Crosby
Home
43.4% (588)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
46.8% (637)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Dewar
Crosby
P1
43.9%
53.6%
P2
47.1%
53.9%
P3
44.3%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |