Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Crosby 52.8% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 50.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 90.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 75.7%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Dewar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Dewar
Crosby
Last 8: Dewar 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Dewar
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Dewar
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
52.5% (1,443)
-7.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
54.7% (369)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
55.9% (34)
-27.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Dewar
Crosby
Home
43.3% (238)
53.0% (931)
Away
44.9% (265)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Dewar
Crosby
P1
41.7%
50.3%
P2
46.1%
55.4%
P3
44.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |