Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 56.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Dewar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dewar
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Dewar
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
56.2% (1,451)
-16.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.4% (293)
+38.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
55.3% (38)
-6.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Dewar
Crosby
Home
41.0% (78)
59.1% (939)
Away
45.7% (46)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Dewar
Crosby
P1
38.9%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
60.8%
P3
34.9%
55.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |