Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Crosby 57.8% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Dewar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Dewar
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
57.8% (1,437)
-11.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
60.9% (381)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
50.0% (54)
+0.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Dewar
Crosby
Home
43.9% (189)
59.2% (985)
Away
49.3% (221)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Dewar
Crosby
P1
50.4%
57.3%
P2
50.0%
59.5%
P3
40.8%
58.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |