Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Thompson 41.2% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Dewar
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
40.6% (801)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
44.7% (103)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
31.0% (71)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dewar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Dewar shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thompson
Home
45.3% (64)
43.2% (507)
Away
47.8% (69)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Dewar
Thompson
P1
33.3%
37.7%
P2
44.2%
43.4%
P3
64.1%
39.5%
Final 5 min
58.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%