Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Thompson 44.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dewar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Dewar
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
44.6% (709)
+1.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
41.5% (53)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
35.1% (97)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thompson
Home
43.9% (189)
45.5% (426)
Away
49.3% (221)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Dewar
Thompson
P1
50.4%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
43.8%
P3
40.8%
38.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |