Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Seguin 54.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 73.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 65.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Dewar
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Dewar
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
55.0% (713)
-9.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
56.7% (104)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
47.2% (53)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Dewar
Seguin
Home
43.3% (238)
56.2% (443)
Away
44.9% (265)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Dewar
Seguin
P1
41.7%
54.2%
P2
46.1%
52.9%
P3
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |