Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Seguin 51.8% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 75.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Dewar
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
54.8% (135)
-14.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.3% (24)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
26.7% (15)
+21.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dewar is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Dewar shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Dewar
Seguin
Home
41.0% (78)
47.4% (95)
Away
45.7% (46)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Dewar
Seguin
P1
38.9%
50.8%
P2
53.3%
57.1%
P3
34.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%