Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 75.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 82.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 73.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Dewar
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Dewar
Seguin
Last 7: Dewar 1-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Dewar
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Dewar
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
55.9% (810)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
49.3% (762)
-7.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dewar is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Dewar shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Dewar
Seguin
Home
43.4% (588)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
46.8% (637)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Dewar
Seguin
P1
43.9%
52.8%
P2
47.1%
53.3%
P3
44.3%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |