Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Grant 48.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 82.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 64.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
McDavid
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McDavid
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
McDavid
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
McDavid
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
49.1% (222)
+5.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
76.5% (17)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
45.3% (181)
-12.0%
On power play, Grant has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
McDavid
Grant
Home
53.6% (507)
49.8% (223)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.2% (197)
By Period
McDavid
Grant
P1
52.6%
43.9%
P2
54.1%
49.7%
P3
54.9%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Grant |