Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Pettersson 46.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
7
McDavid
Pettersson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McDavid
Pettersson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
43.8% (630)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
56.3% (215)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
35.9% (103)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
49.8% (325)
48.3% (453)
Away
44.6% (316)
43.4% (495)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
46.2%
44.7%
P2
48.6%
46.0%
P3
47.1%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |