Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 40-30 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
30
(70 meetings)
40
30
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
11
7
McDavid
Pettersson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
15
10
McDavid
Pettersson
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
14
13
McDavid
Pettersson
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
45.3% (4,569)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
54.6% (540)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
38.7% (238)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
49.3% (4,570)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
46.5%
44.7%
P2
48.7%
46.0%
P3
48.3%
47.4%
OT
40.9%
39.7%
Final 5 min
50.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |