Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.0%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
7
McDavid
Pettersson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McDavid
Pettersson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
45.9% (790)
+1.6%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
55.4% (242)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
35.5% (107)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
50.2% (400)
49.3% (584)
Away
44.7% (365)
44.5% (555)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
47.5%
45.8%
P2
48.6%
47.9%
P3
46.7%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |