Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.8%). Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Pettersson 50.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 8: McDavid 7-1 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Pettersson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
50.4% (698)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
63.2% (57)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
40.9% (44)
-4.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
51.8% (415)
50.7% (420)
Away
50.4% (450)
50.9% (379)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
47.5%
48.0%
P2
51.6%
47.6%
P3
55.5%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |