Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.8%). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Haula 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 50.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
McDavid
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McDavid
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
McDavid
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
52.7% (734)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
71.4% (49)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
52.2% (23)
-18.9%
On power play, Haula has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
53.6% (507)
54.0% (404)
Away
53.8% (539)
53.7% (402)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
52.6%
50.8%
P2
54.1%
55.0%
P3
54.9%
55.1%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |