Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Haula 52.3% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McDavid
Haula
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.9% (612)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
56.3% (32)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
48.0% (75)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
47.3% (387)
54.2% (345)
Away
48.1% (389)
51.1% (374)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
47.6%
55.8%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
45.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%