Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Haula 54.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 75.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McDavid
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
McDavid
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
57.6% (684)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
46.0% (63)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
45.5% (145)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
51.8% (415)
56.3% (449)
Away
50.4% (450)
53.3% (443)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
47.5%
58.4%
P2
51.6%
54.9%
P3
55.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Erik Haula |