Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Miller 52.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 58.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 77.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 70.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
McDavid
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
McDavid
Miller
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
6
McDavid
Miller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
54.9% (432)
-5.8%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
23.1% (13)
+55.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
48.1% (81)
-48.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
McDavid shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
McDavid
Miller
Home
56.1% (330)
55.4% (294)
Away
42.5% (308)
50.0% (232)
By Period
McDavid
Miller
P1
49.2%
47.5%
P2
47.4%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |