Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Miller 55.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
McDavid
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
McDavid
Miller
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Miller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
7
McDavid
Miller
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
56.3% (1,033)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
62.5% (253)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
47.4% (175)
-11.0%
On power play, Miller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
McDavid
Miller
Home
51.8% (415)
58.6% (734)
Away
50.4% (450)
54.1% (727)
By Period
McDavid
Miller
P1
47.5%
57.1%
P2
51.6%
57.0%
P3
55.5%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |