Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Miller 54.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
McDavid
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
McDavid
Miller
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
3
McDavid
Miller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
3
McDavid
Miller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
55.7% (589)
-4.2%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
60.9% (138)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
47.2% (159)
+4.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
McDavid
Miller
Home
50.7% (513)
56.1% (440)
Away
53.2% (498)
53.8% (446)
By Period
McDavid
Miller
P1
52.3%
52.3%
P2
51.6%
54.7%
P3
51.7%
57.2%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |