Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Ek 48.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 55.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
McDavid
Ek
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
5
McDavid
Ek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
Ek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
47.2% (815)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
53.8% (266)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
47.8% (180)
-1.3%
On power play, Ek has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
50.2% (400)
49.9% (693)
Away
44.7% (365)
47.2% (568)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
47.5%
46.2%
P2
48.6%
52.6%
P3
46.7%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |