Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Ek 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McDavid
Ek
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
McDavid
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
47.7% (1,023)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
60.2% (362)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
41.5% (217)
-5.1%
On power play, Ek has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
51.8% (415)
48.3% (801)
Away
50.4% (450)
51.1% (801)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
47.5%
50.2%
P2
51.6%
50.1%
P3
55.5%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |