Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.1%). Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Ek 47.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 58.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 51.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
McDavid
Ek
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
McDavid
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
4
McDavid
Ek
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Ek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
47.6% (609)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
53.3% (152)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
34.9% (106)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
47.3% (387)
49.2% (331)
Away
48.1% (389)
45.7% (536)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
47.6%
38.7%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
45.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |