Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%). Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Ek 47.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 54-40 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 55.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
54
(94 meetings)
40
54
McDavid
Ek
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
9
8
McDavid
Ek
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
14
25
McDavid
Ek
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
17
21
McDavid
Ek
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
47.3% (6,674)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
55.2% (1,494)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
40.2% (1,168)
+3.2%
On power play, Ek has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
49.3% (4,570)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
46.5%
46.6%
P2
48.7%
49.4%
P3
48.3%
46.7%
OT
40.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |