Connor McDavid vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 45.7%). Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Ek 46.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 61.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
McDavid
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McDavid
Ek
Last 8: McDavid 3-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
McDavid
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
2
McDavid
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
47.1% (482)
-0.2%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
50.0% (14)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
29.5% (44)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
McDavid shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
McDavid
Ek
Home
47.9% (478)
48.4% (254)
Away
45.2% (440)
43.4% (286)
By Period
McDavid
Ek
P1
45.9%
44.8%
P2
47.7%
46.9%
P3
46.6%
45.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |