Connor McDavid vs Jonathan Marchessault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +26.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Marchessault 45.2% (+26.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 82.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 64.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
McDavid
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Marchessault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
20.0% (20)
+31.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, McDavid has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Marchessault is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
McDavid
Marchessault
Home
51.8% (415)
7.1% (14)
Away
50.4% (450)
50.0% (10)
By Period
McDavid
Marchessault
P1
47.5%
20.0%
P2
51.6%
40.0%
P3
55.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |